Market Commentary
-
Bull Market Turns 3: Strong Gains, AI Leads the Charge
Weekly Updates • October 13, 2025
This bull market enters year four with strong gains, driven by tech and AI. History suggests more upside ahead amid resilient growth and a dovish Fed stance.
-
Q3 Earnings Season Preview: Little Suspense
Weekly Updates • October 6, 2025
LPL Research provides a Q3 earnings preview highlighting strong AI-driven growth, resilient margins despite tariffs, and a positive outlook for corporate profits into 2026.
-
Equity Market Melt-Up Cools as Government Shutdown Looms
Weekly Updates • September 29, 2025
LPL Research analyzes recent market performance as Fed expectations, strong economic data, government shutdown concerns and more continue to have an impact.
-
No Risk-Free Path
Weekly Updates • September 22, 2025
During last week’s press conference after the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate decision, Chairman Jerome Powell warned his audience there is no risk-free path for interest rates right now. Inflation is above target and growth appears resilient.
-
The Intersection of Political Uncertainty and Global Debt Markets
Weekly Updates • September 15, 2025
LPL Research examines political shifts and fiscal concerns in Japan, France, the U.K., and the U.S. and its impact on bond yields.
-
Stocks Are Following the Market’s Playbook
Weekly Updates • September 8, 2025
LPL Research sees bull market strength as stocks follow recovery trends, with AI growth, Fed cuts, and economic resilience driving upside.
-
Calm Before the Storm? September Rally Outlook
Weekly Updates • September 2, 2025
Explore September stock market trends, S&P 500 seasonality, earnings growth, and Fed rate cut expectations in LPL Research’s Weekly Market Commentary.
-
Fed Policy Signals Emerge from Jackson Hole Meeting
Weekly Updates • August 25, 2025
As central bankers, economists, and policymakers gathered last weekend in Wyoming’s Grand Teton National Park for the 2025 Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, the Federal Reserve (Fed) found itself at a critical juncture marked by political pressures, personnel changes, and internal divisions over monetary policy direction.
-
New List Item Earnings Season Delivers: Key Market Takeaways
Weekly Updates • August 18, 2025
Second quarter earnings season, which winds down this week and next, has met some of the highest expectations. Strong beat rates, big upside earnings surprises, and increases in estimates during the past four weeks were consistent themes that gave investors very little to complain about.
-
Stocks Hold Strong Despite Policy Headwinds - So Far
Weekly Updates • August 11, 2025
We have been pleasantly surprised by how well stocks have handled the sharp increase in tariffs. Since the market low from the early April tariff scare, the S&P 500 Index has gained more than 28%.
-
7 Key Market Insights From a Wild Week
Weekly Updates • August 4, 2025
Last week was one for the ages in terms of the number and magnitude of events and data points for investors to digest. A Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting, the monthly jobs report, and the peak week of earnings season would be enough to qualify as a busy week.
-
U.S. Economy Faces Uncharted Waters
Weekly Updates • July 28, 2025
Last week, investors were reminded of the persistent impact the pandemic had on many macro models. In particular, the Leading Economic Index (LEI), which has historically been the Conference Board’s accurate leading indicator of the business cycle, still points to a deep, imminent recession as of last month.
-
Midyear Fixed Income, Commodity Markets Outlook, & Crypto
Weekly Updates • July 21, 2025
Within fixed income markets, a tug of war has unfolded between two opposing forces, much like the classic tale of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde. The benevolent Dr. Jekyll emerges when economic data suggests weakness, which leads to lower interest rates and relief for borrowers.
-
Midyear Stock Market Insights: Challenges and Opportunities
Weekly Updates • July 14, 2025
If “tariff” isn’t the word of the year for stock investors so far, then perhaps it’s “uncertainty.” Uncertainty around trade policy dominated the path of the stock market in the first half and will continue to play a large role in the second half.
-
Strategic Time Horizon Supports Allocation to Non-U.S. Equities
Weekly Updates • June 30, 2025
With investor focus now squarely back on U.S. equities as new all-time highs are in sight, we dig into why strategic allocations should still consider, despite recent outperformance and multiple expansion, diversification into international equities.
-
China’s Equity Market Diverges: AShares vs. H-Shares
Weekly Updates • June 23, 2025
Chinese equities have been a major focus for investors in recent months, with catalysts ranging from DeepSeek’s artificial intelligence (AI) advancements to tariffs and trade negotiations.
-
Inflation’s Importance to Financial Markets Cannot Be Overstated
Weekly Updates • June 16, 2025
Inflation’s effects on the economy, monetary policy, and the financial markets are wide-ranging.
-
Q1 Buybacks Boost Stocks Amid Market Recovery
Weekly Updates • June 9, 2025
There have been plenty of catalysts supporting the broader market’s recovery from the correction lows set last month.
-
Tariffs and Market Volatility Likely to Stick
Weekly Updates • June 2, 2025
There has been no shortage of trade policy curveballs thrown at the market since the White House announced shockingly high reciprocal tariffs on April 2.
-
Can Earnings Catch Up to This Stock Market Rally?
Weekly Updates • May 27, 2025
First quarter reporting season was solid, but results didn’t offer much of a confidence boost in the outlook for the rest of the year. -
Tariff Pause Boosts Sentiment, Fed Steady
Weekly Update • May 19, 2025
Investor sentiment dramatically changed after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and other members of the Trump administration announced a temporary pause on tariffs with China. -
Bulls Are on Trial
Weekly Update • May 12, 2025
A busy week of earnings, trade negotiations, and monetary policy meetings left the S&P 500 down around 0.5%.
-
Finding Value Among the Muni Market Malaise
Weekly Update • May 5, 2025
The municipal bond market faced significant volatility in April, driven by spillovers from a turbulent Treasury market. Treasury yields were pressured higher by rising inflation expectations; the Federal Reserve’s cautious policy stance, reduced foreign demand; hedge fund deleveraging, portfolio shifts toward cash, and structural illiquidity.

